Oct. 14th, 2020

mtbc: maze N (blue-white)
With the excess death rate clearly rising in England and Wales I find it strange that, over much of those countries, pubs remain open. If I contract SARS-CoV-2 then I know that my chances of survival are good but what of the sequelae? There have now been so many cases reported of people, including younger adults, suffering fatigue, cognitive impairment, cardiac injury, etc. that affects them months after recovery. Even if an effective vaccine reaches us next year, I wonder if Her Majesty's Government's efforts to trade off public health against economic impact are taking full account of these less-headline ongoing costs; it's not as if SARS and MERS haven't forewarned us. Calling people's symptoms mild simply because they did not require emergency hospitalization seems to me to mislead dangerously.

Update: A couple of days later I got to introduce this point among European Molecular Biology Laboratory folks, after feeling that the discussion was overly focused on mortality rates.

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Mark T. B. Carroll

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